The situation in Ukraine. April 23-30, 2025.
1. The situation around the peace talks to end the war in Ukraine.
WHITE PAPER ON UKRAINE/RUSSIA
WHITE PAPER ON UKRAINE / RUSSIA
Prospects for the Russian-Ukrainian conflict: causes, sanctions and possible scenarios
Introduction
The specter of Saigon is a harbinger of the era of "global strategic loneliness."
From the evacuation in 1975 to the diplomatic maneuvers of 2025, the fate of the allies is once again calling into question the global leadership of the United States. What does the fall of Saigon tell us about the future of global unions?
The cost of weapons will soar: how Trump’s tariffs will hit the Armed Forces of Ukraine
Trump’s tariffs have brought down the arms market. Suppliers are urgently raising prices for raw materials and components, which ultimately makes everything more expensive — from shells to fighter jets.
What consequences can the new tariffs have? Will European companies move their factories to the United States? I will try to understand these issues.
Situation in Ukraine (April 10–16, 2025)
Martial law and general mobilization extended in Ukraine.
On April 16, 2025, the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, during a plenary session, supported President Volodymyr Zelensky's initiative to extend the legal regime of martial law and general mobilization. The corresponding draft laws No. 13172 and No. 13173, submitted by the head of state, were included in the agenda and adopted as a whole.
Draft Law No. 13172 — “On Extending the Duration of Martial Law in Ukraine” — was supported by 357 Members of Parliament.
Negociações de paz: entenda os desafios da frágil trégua entre Rússia e Ucrânia
Nas últimas semanas, Rússia, Ucrânia e EUA realizaram os maiores avanços em termos de negociações para pôr um fim à guerra. Em conversações paralelas entre os dias 23 e 25 de março, na Arábia Saudita, as partes chegaram a acordo sobre um cessar-fogo de ataques a infraestruturas energéticas e uma trégua no Mar Negro para garantir a segurança das exportações comerciais.
REPORT ON THE POLITICAL, MILITARY AND ECONOMICAL SITUATION IN RUSSIAN FEDERATION (March 24-30, 2025)
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DOMESTIC POLITICS.
1. Detention of the “Rusagro” holding founder Vadim Moshkovich.
THE SITUATION IN UKRAINE. March 26 - April 2, 2025
US President Donald Trump's attempts to reach a diplomatic settlement of the war in Ukraine have not yet led to significant results due to the irreconcilable positions of the Russian Federation and Ukraine. Against this background, the President of the United States is trying to exert pressure on both the President of the Russian Federation V. Putin and the President of Ukraine V. Zelensky.

