The most large-scale missile attacks on Ukraine on November 15 summed up the intrigue of recent weeks regarding possible negotiations between Ukraine, the Russian Federation, the US, and the EU, information about the possibility of which has been actively circulating in the media over the past few weeks. The safe retreat of Russian troops from the right bank of the Dnieper and Kherson, the safe visit of the President of Ukraine to Kherson, and the two-week absence of shelling of the Ukrainian energy infrastructure also reinforced this opinion.

The retreat of Russia from the city of Kherson and neighborhood may mean a change in Russian tactics and goals in the war in Ukraine. Due this new tactic Dnieper River may become to the dividing political line for Ukraine.

The Russian Federation continues to regularly attack the energy infrastructure of Ukraine, provoking an energy and, as a result, humanitarian and military-political crises in the country. So, on October 31, two days after the attack by drones of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation in the bay of Sevastopol, virtually the entire territory of Ukraine was subjected to massive missile attacks by the Russian Federation for the fourth time.

• "The future world order is being formed before our eyes. And in this world order we must listen to everyone, take into account every point of view, every people, society, culture, every system of worldviews, ideas and religious ideas, without imposing a single truth on anyone, and only on this basis, understanding their responsibility for the destiny - the destiny of the peoples, the planet, to build a symphony of human civilization. - Who do you think said that?

The Russian-appointed occupying "authorities" of the Kherson region announced the evacuation of the civilian population to the left bank of the Dnieper. The evacuation of the civilian population from the Kherson region can probably be associated with the ongoing counter-offensive of the Ukrainian troops and the plans (or assumptions) of the Russian leadership to retreat from the right bank of the Dnieper in the Kherson region, where the supply of Russian troops and their possible encirclement is mainly difficult.

Friends, I decided to bring some clarity on the situation around the "peace talks" between Ukraine and the Russian Federation and the "strangeness" (at first glance) of the behavior of the parties.

1. Both sides continue to raise the stakes in the remote negotiation process, taking an increasingly uncompromising stance on political negotiations, but using different strategies.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine have achieved an operational breakthrough and are retaining a tactical military initiative, trying to transform it into a strategic one until significant masses of mobilized Russians arrive at the front (November-December). During the week, Ukrainian troops continued their successful counter-offensive in the main 2 directions - on the border of the Kharkiv and Luhansk regions (near the cities of Svatove and the Lysychansk-Severodonetsk agglomeration) and in the north of the Kherson region (near the cities of Beryslav and Nova Kakhovka).

On October 4, at the Hungarian Embassy in Ukraine, with the support of the Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Hungary to Ukraine, Istvan Iydjarto, the presentation of the analytical study "SEVEN SCENARIOS FOR UKRAINE: from triumph to decline" was held, which was prepared by experts from the Ukrainian Institute of Politics (UIP). Analytical work was presented by: Director of the UIP Ruslan Bortnik and experts of the UIP - Denis Gaevsky, Oksana Krasovskaya, Andrey Timchenko.