On the ideological synchronization of Russia and China.

"The future world order is being formed before our eyes. And in this world order we must listen to everyone, take into account every point of view, every people, society, culture, every system of worldviews, ideas and religious ideas, without imposing a single truth on anyone, and only on this basis, understanding their responsibility for the destiny - the destiny of the peoples, the planet, to build a symphony of human civilization. - Who do you think said that?

SITUATION IN UKRAINE: 12 – 19 October 2022

The Russian-appointed occupying "authorities" of the Kherson region announced the evacuation of the civilian population to the left bank of the Dnieper. The evacuation of the civilian population from the Kherson region can probably be associated with the ongoing counter-offensive of the Ukrainian troops and the plans (or assumptions) of the Russian leadership to retreat from the right bank of the Dnieper in the Kherson region, where the supply of Russian troops and their possible encirclement is mainly difficult.

About negotiations

Friends, I decided to bring some clarity on the situation around the "peace talks" between Ukraine and the Russian Federation and the "strangeness" (at first glance) of the behavior of the parties.

1. Both sides continue to raise the stakes in the remote negotiation process, taking an increasingly uncompromising stance on political negotiations, but using different strategies.

Russia Ukraine War: Kyiv to cut diplomatic ties with Tehran as Iran supplying drones to Russia

https://www.wionews.com/videos/russia-ukraine-war-kyiv-to-cut-diplomati…

Ukraine's Foreign Minister has submitted a proposal to the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to formally cut diplomatic ties with Iran. This came after Ukraine accused Tehran of supplying drones to Russia.

SITUATION IN UKRAINE: September 29 - October 5, 2022

The Armed Forces of Ukraine have achieved an operational breakthrough and are retaining a tactical military initiative, trying to transform it into a strategic one until significant masses of mobilized Russians arrive at the front (November-December). During the week, Ukrainian troops continued their successful counter-offensive in the main 2 directions - on the border of the Kharkiv and Luhansk regions (near the cities of Svatove and the Lysychansk-Severodonetsk agglomeration) and in the north of the Kherson region (near the cities of Beryslav and Nova Kakhovka).

UIP presented the study "SEVEN SCENARIOS: from triumph to decline" to the diplomatic corps in Ukraine

On October 4, at the Hungarian Embassy in Ukraine, with the support of the Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of Hungary to Ukraine, Istvan Iydjarto, the presentation of the analytical study "SEVEN SCENARIOS FOR UKRAINE: from triumph to decline" was held, which was prepared by experts from the Ukrainian Institute of Politics (UIP). Analytical work was presented by: Director of the UIP Ruslan Bortnik and experts of the UIP - Denis Gaevsky, Oksana Krasovskaya, Andrey Timchenko.

Mobilization and referendums are the horsemen of the transformation of the war

• Partial mobilization in the Russian Federation (and the adoption of new mobilization legislation), as well as a sharp acceleration in the pace of the so-called. "referendums" in the occupied territories are markers of an attempt to transform the Russian strategy in the Russian-Ukrainian war, and, probably, its transition to a New phase.

Non-material losses of Ukraine as a result of the war exceed 2.2 billion US dollars

As a result of the ongoing hostilities on the territory of Ukraine, the country has already suffered significant economic damage. According to the government of Ukraine, the total amount of material losses, confirmed by the World Bank, is more than 340 billion dollars. The amount of funds that has been verified and is needed for recovery is about $105 billion.

(NOT) Security Guarantees?

The Office of the President of Ukraine proposed the concept of a system of international security guarantees for Ukraine. Recommendations on security guarantees for Ukraine were developed on behalf of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and were presented by Head of the Office of the President Andriy Yermak and 12th NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen.

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