The main and fundamental result of the 2022-2026 war was that Ukraine retained its statehood, governability and basic institutional integrity. Despite large-scale destruction, colossal military and economic losses, the country remained a fully functioning state with relative political stability, albeit in a negative trend, with uncertain prospects, high military-political and social tensio

The Geneva round of talks, as expected, failed to produce a tangible breakthrough in the peace process. The parties limited themselves to confirming their readiness to continue dialogue, which is generally a positive sign, but there was no convergence of positions on key strategic issues. Discussions were primarily technical.

At the start of the new round of talks in Abu Dhabi (February 4-5, 2026), the most problematic issues for reaching a peace agreement on Ukraine remain: territorial issues (the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the Donetsk region) and security guarantees for Ukraine. The current diplomatic configuration demonstrates that each side is currently pursuing its own vision of peace, seeking an agreement that will be perceived as a victory.